Cheeky Betting Tips



10/06/2016

Euro 2016


OUTRIGHT WINNER

Austria at 40/1
(drawn in Group F with Portugal, Iceland and Hungary)


Austria qualified for Euro 2016 with consummate ease by winning nine and drawing one of their 10 matches, scoring a total of 22 goals and conceding just five in the process. England were the only side in Europe to earn more points in the qualifying campaign (with 10 wins from 10). By topping a group containing Russia and Sweden, Austria have demonstrated a marked improvement since 2013 and they go into the tournament on the back of nine successive wins in competitive games.

Bayern Munich's David Alaba is utilised as a playmaking midfielder for his country – a role that enables him to have a greater impact on games and a role that he has executed to devastating effect over the last two years. The physical presence of Marc Janko up front (seven goals in nine appearances during the qualifying campaign) offers a threat that defenders will fear this Summer and he is ably supported by Marko Arnautovic. Defensively, they are solid and, while the threat of Portugal and Iceland cannot be entirely disregarded, Austria will rightly fancy their chances of progressing. In some ways, it might even be better to finish second in Group F to set up a tie with the runner up from England’s group (Group B) because the winners are likely to face either Belgium or Italy. Having said that, Austria are capable of beating any of those sides and captain Christian Fuchs of Leicester City will know better than most that fairytales can, indeed, come true.

Odds of 40/1 suggest that Austria’s chances of success are very slim but, with question marks over all of the popular selections (France, Germany, Spain, England and Belgium), this could be the right time to back an outsider to go all the way.

ALL Betfair customers can bet £25 or more on the Euro 2016 outright winner market and receive a £5 free bet every time their selected team wins a game. Terms and conditions apply.




Poland at 50/1
(drawn in Group C with Germany, Ukraine and Northern Ireland)


Poland scored 33 goals in their qualifying campaign – the highest tally in Europe. In Robert Lewandowsi, they have one of the best strikers in world football at their disposal but Ajax striker Arkadiusz Milik is also capable of having a huge impact in France this Summer. Sevilla midfielder Gregorz Krychowiak, along with Lukasz Piszczek and skipper Jakub Blaszczykowski provide further proven quality to the Poland squad while highly-rated midfielder Piotr Zielinski will also be hoping to seize this opportunity to make an impression on the world stage. Clearly, Poland are far from a one-man-team but Robert Lewandowsi will be heavily relied on if Poland are to cause a shock this Summer.

Poland once again find themselves grouped with the well-fancied Germans but they did record a victory over Germany in qualifying and, besides, the draw has been kind to them in other ways. Ukraine and Northern Ireland make up the remainder of Group C and, while both sides will be organised and disciplined, Poland’s firepower should be too much. The group C winners will be expected to overcome a third-placed side (from Groups A, B or F) while the runners-up from Group C are likely to face Switzerland, Romania or Albania (assuming France win Group A). On that basis, Poland and Germany can both expect a reasonably safe passage to the quarter finals. At that point, odds of 50/1 will seem incredibly generous given that Poland would only be two wins away from the final (which, if bookies’ odds are to be used as a guide, could be against the ageing Spaniards followed by the incessantly underachieving English). The odds are stacked against Poland but 50/1 is surely too big for a side whose only defeat in qualifying was away to the World Cup winners.

ALL Sky Bet customers can bet £10 or more on the Euro 2016 outright winner market and receive a £3 free bet every time their selected team wins a game. Terms and conditions apply.



TO REACH THE QUARTER FINALS

Austria and Poland at 7/1

Sky Bet are offering odds of 7/1 for Austria and Poland both to qualify for the quarter finals (found in the Euro 2016 Request A Bet section). Based on the arguments set out above, 7/1 seems generous.



TOP GOALSCORER

Olivier Giroud at 16/1.

This year’s top goalscorer market is particularly interesting because the likes of Germany and Spain may set up with a ‘false 9’, thereby relying on players breaking from deeper positions to score the goals. Thomas Muller and Alvaro Morata will no doubt enjoy some success if they are deployed in that system but they are likely to share the goals with other players in similar positions. Roy Hodgson faces a predicament if he intends to squeeze Harry Kane, Wayne Rooney and Jamie Vardy into an effective front line while Belgium’s options in forward positions may also force some rotation, both in terms of personnel and formation, as the tournament progresses. One possible exception may be found in the hosts. France are the favourites to lift the trophy and the talent in their squad suggests that they should go far. On that basis, they will probably have six or seven matches in the tournament and therefore Antoine Griezmann and Olivier Giroud can be considered the front-runners for the Golden Boot.

While Griezmann has been in sensational form for Atletico Madrid this season, Olivier Giroud has faced criticism even from supporters of his own club. However, this is not a market for selecting the better player – in that regard, there is no contest. The only consideration here is the likelihood of a player getting his name on the scoresheet and, if France play Giroud up top as expected, he will find himself in goalscoring positions far more often than the deeper, more inventive Griezmann. Giroud has found the net seven times in his last four outings for club and country and odds of 16/1 seem generous for the only genuine first-choice striker in the ‘big three’ to end the tournament as top goalscorer.

ALL Coral customers can bet £20 on the Top Goalscorer market and get a £5 free bet every time their chosen player scores. Terms and conditions apply.



COMPETITION

Don't forget, you can also enter our FREE Cash in Your Chimps competition where you will get several chances to win up to £100 for correctly predicting the scores of the Euro 2016 matches.


SELECTED OFFERS FOR NEW ACCOUNTS*
(Terms and conditions apply)


BETFAIR - France to win Euro 2016 at 14/1.
BETFAIR - Germany to win Euro 2016 at 16/1.
BETFAIR - England to win Euro 2016 at 33/1.
BETFAIR - Belgium to win Euro 2016 at 40/1.
BETFAIR - Thomas Muller to be the top goalscorer at 30/1.
BETFAIR - Harry Kane to be the top goalscorer at 35/1.
BETFAIR - Cristiano Ronaldo to be the top goalscorer at 24/1.
BETFAIR - Kane, Rooney or Vardy to be England’s top goalscorer at 5/1.
BETFAIR - Bale to be Wales’ top goalscorer at 7/1.
BETFAIR - Wales, Republic of Ireland OR Northern Ireland to qualify from their group at 5/1.
BETFAIR - Wales to win Group B at 20/1.

CORAL - France or Germany to win Euro 2016 at 10/1.

*winnings paid in free bets


SELECTED PROMOTIONS FOR EXISTING ACCOUNTS
(Terms and conditions apply)


BET365 - losing outright winner stakes refunded in withdrawable cash if their selected team is knocked out on penalties.
BET365 - stakes refunded in withdrawable cash if the game ends 0-0. Applies to first, last and anytime goalscorer, half-time/full-time, correct score and scorecast markets.

BETFAIR - bet £25 or more on the Euro 2016 outright winner market and receive a £5 free bet every time the selected team wins a game.

BOYLESPORTS - bet £25 on the Top Goalscorer market and get a £5 free bet every time the player scores (must opt in).

CORAL - bet £20 on the Top Goalscorer market and get a £5 free bet every time the player scores.
CORAL - losing outright winner stakes refunded in free bets if the selected team is knocked out on penalties.

SKY BET - bet £10 or more on the Euro 2016 outright winner market and receive a £3 free bet every time the selected team wins a game.